Covid-19 Lockdown Preferences

Datacite citation style:
Chorus, Caspar; N. (Niek) Mouter (2020): Covid-19 Lockdown Preferences. Version 1. 4TU.ResearchData. dataset. https://doi.org/10.4121/uuid:9f8dc379-6494-4814-8801-0888147f97d3
Other citation styles (APA, Harvard, MLA, Vancouver, Chicago, IEEE) available at Datacite
Dataset
Delft University of Technology logo
usage stats
2013
views
560
downloads
geolocation
The Netherlands
time coverage
2020
licence
cc-0.png logo CC0
We report and interpret preferences of a sample of the Dutch adult population for different strategies to end the so-called ‘intelligent lockdown’ which their government had put in place in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Using a discrete choice experiment, we invited participants to make a series of choices between policy scenarios aimed at relaxing the lockdown, which were specified not in terms of their nature (e.g. whether or not to allow schools to re-open) but in terms of their effects along seven dimensions. These included health-related effects, but also impacts on the economy, education, and personal income. From the observed choices, we were able to infer the implicit trade-offs made by the Dutch between these policy effects. For example, we find that the average citizen, in order to avoid one fatality directly or indirectly related to COVID-19, is willing to accept a lasting lag in the educational performance of 18 children, or a lasting (>3 years) and substantial (>15%) reduction in net income of 77 households. We explore heterogeneity across individuals in terms of these trade-offs by means of latent class analysis. Our results suggest that most citizens are willing to trade-off health-related and other effects of the lockdown, implying a consequentialist ethical perspective. Somewhat surprisingly, we find that the elderly, known to be at relatively high risk of being affected by the virus, are relatively reluctant to sacrifice economic pain and educational disadvantages for the younger generation, to avoid fatalities. We also identify a so-called taboo trade-off aversion amongst a substantial share of our sample, being an aversion to accept morally problematic policies that simultaneously imply higher fatality numbers and lower taxes. We explain various ways in which our results can be of value to policy makers in the context of the COVID-19 and future pandemics.
history
  • 2020-07-22 first online, published, posted
publisher
4TU.ResearchData
format
media types: application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet, text/plain
funding
  • Horizon 2020 [ERC Consolidator], 724431
  • TU Delft COVID-19 Response fund
organizations
TU Delft, Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management, Department of Engineering Systems and Services

DATA

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